The nursing home market is sustained pressure, as of May 2026 the whole market presented an 18% vacancy rate, of a total of 429 beds. With a decline in demand during the last financial year, 2025/26, and increase in home closures or deregistration to residential, the overall capacity is reducing. This has caused a particular gap within the dementia nursing provision. Care homes that have deregistered nursing beds or ceased offering nursing care altogether, over the last financial year, stating that funding constraints and persistent workforce shortages were leading causes.
Provision is unevenly distributed geographically, resulting in limited choice across some areas in district and increased reliance on extended boundary provision for those living closer to the boarders, leading to high percentage of out of county requests for support.
Reported vacancy levels do not present an accurate picture of available capacity. As there remains some care homes that remain registered with CQC for nursing care, presenting a soft-deregistration and refusal of new nursing care referrals, instead only accepting people that need residential care. These positions in practice reflect provider refusal to accept people with complex needs rather than a lack of beds to facilitate the demand. This limits a true reflect on vacancy information and suggests that the true vacancy rate is a lot lower than reported.

Workforce capability remains a key constraint. Discussions with providers have highlighted training gaps, particularly in dementia care and complex nursing, which are leading to increased requests for enhanced staffing and further escalating costs. Development of training standards to drive consistent delivery of good quality care is required for care providers within this service area.
The Home First model has begun to show a cultural shift from nursing homes to favouring people remaining within their own home for longer, therefore the level of complex care that people enter into nursing provision has increased, which has increased pressure for providers to adjust rapidly to care needs, rather than people moving into this provision with lower needs, that develop into more complex care whilst in the home.




